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Post by Ratty on Jul 3, 2018 13:25:45 GMT
[ Snip ]I think you should stand firm. You still might be right and we will all hail you as a sage If your wrong...….
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Post by acidohm on Jul 3, 2018 14:08:33 GMT
Well.....I can unequivocally state I have absolutely none of the expertise, experience, knowledge or nouse to challenge anything joe B says.... Can I retrospectively change my previous statement to "no hurricane will form off the coast of Africa, sweep across the atlantic and make landfall on the US??? mmmmh, maybe I should just get a backbone..... I think you should stand firm. You still might be right and we will all hail you as a sage If your wrong...…. Well, if you wanna do what Ratty suggests you'll have to come get me. I'll do a BBQ then submit to any takers 😎
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Post by blustnmtn on Jul 3, 2018 15:04:03 GMT
I think you should stand firm. You still might be right and we will all hail you as a sage If your wrong...…. Well, if you wanna do what Ratty suggests you'll have to come get me. I'll do a BBQ then submit to any takers 😎 My energy level is inversely proportional to pints consumed 🍺
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Post by sigurdur on Jul 3, 2018 15:28:31 GMT
This could ruin Acidohm’s unequivocal forecast. Well.....I can unequivocally state I have absolutely none of the expertise, experience, knowledge or nouse to challenge anything joe B says.... Can I retrospectively change my previous statement to "no hurricane will form off the coast of Africa, sweep across the atlantic and make landfall on the US??? mmmmh, maybe I should just get a backbone..... Use the GAGW model. If I am not correct this year I will be 50 years from now.
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Post by sigurdur on Jul 4, 2018 19:14:09 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Jul 5, 2018 20:03:23 GMT
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Post by phydeaux2363 on Jul 5, 2018 20:15:32 GMT
Here we go yet again giving names to tiny thunder storms in the middle of the ocean that will never affect land and will dissipate, by NHC's own forecast, in three days whilst still out over the ocean. My guess, looking at SST in its path, and the dust over the central Atlantic, it won't last even that long. Total ACE on this will be less than .75, maybe as low as .25. This would never have been named, even in the 90s, but will be used as evidence that,"there are more storms than ever before." I guess it's possible that these little guys never formed before, or the ships at sea would have found them, but color me skeptical.
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Post by nautonnier on Jul 5, 2018 20:53:40 GMT
Here we go yet again giving names to tiny thunder storms in the middle of the ocean that will never affect land and will dissipate, by NHC's own forecast, in three days whilst still out over the ocean. My guess, looking at SST in its path, and the dust over the central Atlantic, it won't last even that long. Total ACE on this will be less than .75, maybe as low as .25. This would never have been named, even in the 90s, but will be used as evidence that,"there are more storms than ever before." I guess it's possible that these little guys never formed before, or the ships at sea would have found them, but color me skeptical. I share your feelings. Having lived on the West Coast of Scotland where the _average_ wind was 30mph and locals learned to park cars into wind or the door would be dragged out of your hand and slammed against the front fender (wing) of the car wrinkling the front edge of the door. Winds of 50 - 60mph were common and there were no trees higher than around 4 feet and everything loose blew away years ago. As the islanders in Hebrides and Shetland would say the winds where I was living were light. I do tend to find 'tropical storms' a little laughable - and the rain is warm!
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Post by Ratty on Jul 6, 2018 0:08:46 GMT
Here we go yet again giving names to tiny thunder storms in the middle of the ocean that will never affect land and will dissipate, by NHC's own forecast, in three days whilst still out over the ocean. My guess, looking at SST in its path, and the dust over the central Atlantic, it won't last even that long. Total ACE on this will be less than .75, maybe as low as .25. This would never have been named, even in the 90s, but will be used as evidence that,"there are more storms than ever before." I guess it's possible that these little guys never formed before, or the ships at sea would have found them, but color me skeptical. I share your feelings. Having lived on the West Coast of Scotland where the _average_ wind was 30mph and locals learned to park cars into wind or the door would be dragged out of your hand and slammed against the front fender (wing) of the car wrinkling the front edge of the door. Winds of 50 - 60mph were common and there were no trees higher than around 4 feet and everything loose blew away years ago. As the islanders in Hebrides and Shetland would say the winds where I was living were light. I do tend to find 'tropical storms' a little laughable - and the rain is warm! Billy Connolly did a skit on the wind whilst leaning at 30° the entire time. Couldn't find it so I offer this (do not watch if easily offended ):
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Post by nautonnier on Jul 6, 2018 12:32:30 GMT
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Post by phydeaux2363 on Jul 6, 2018 13:09:30 GMT
Here we go yet again giving names to tiny thunder storms in the middle of the ocean that will never affect land and will dissipate, by NHC's own forecast, in three days whilst still out over the ocean. My guess, looking at SST in its path, and the dust over the central Atlantic, it won't last even that long. Total ACE on this will be less than .75, maybe as low as .25. This would never have been named, even in the 90s, but will be used as evidence that,"there are more storms than ever before." I guess it's possible that these little guys never formed before, or the ships at sea would have found them, but color me skeptical. Mea culpa, mea maxima culpa.
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Post by Ratty on Jul 7, 2018 1:06:38 GMT
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Post by nautonnier on Jul 7, 2018 14:27:27 GMT
Much to the disappointment of the alarmists Beryl will be down to 'a bit fresh' by Puerto Rico
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 7, 2018 14:45:46 GMT
Some call her other things.
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Post by nautonnier on Jul 7, 2018 15:38:02 GMT
What TD3 will do though is take a LOT of energy out of the Gulf Stream it will peter out as it reaches the Newfoundland coast and the cold Labrador current. That will probably lead to autumnal cold for NW Europe,
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