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Post by cuttydyer on Mar 8, 2013 22:47:22 GMT
Cutty: You have nailed it Ole Chap!!!!! The sun influences the Jet Streams!! I know that climate science wants to deny this fact, but the other sciences sure do recognize this. From what I have been able to read, the mechanism is not nailed down, but the correlation is so strong that everyone, except climate scientists, recognize that the mechanism will be found with more available observation. The whole climate is so very complicated it is quit wonderful! Considering the time scales involved, we are incredibly fortunate that a significant solar minimum is (possibly) just a handful of years away - On reflection, I'm not sure if this is a good or a bad thing...
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Post by cuttydyer on Mar 8, 2013 16:05:02 GMT
cuttydyer: I find it surprising that Central England has had very similar temperature swings in the past. 1820-1830...it went up 1.0C. In only ten years! Heck......took 20 for the last warm up to achieve that. And the 1820-1830 time frame is not the only time the temp has swung 1.0C per decade. These UK temperature swings appear to me to coincide with periods of high/low sunspot numbers; see graphs below: SIDC monthly sunspot No graph: If there is a correlation, I suspect the jet stream (as it is weakened / strengthened by solar influence) is influencing the temperature - hence the quite wild swings from cold to warm as the dominant weather systems switch between Arctic and Atlantic.
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Post by cuttydyer on Mar 8, 2013 8:25:41 GMT
Looks like a little snow with it (the kids are getting excited): A very cold start to 2013 for the UK:
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Post by cuttydyer on Mar 5, 2013 10:17:07 GMT
This is sad. Being it has been warmer for awhile, folks forget what it is like to be even slightly colder and are not prepared. At least where I live, it still gets cold enough that folks don't forget. -30F is a great reminder every now and then. I live on high sparsely populated moorland that hasn't seen a really harsh winter since 1962/63 (similar to the winter that Japan is currently experiencing). Back then virtually all moorland homes were "off grid" & energy self sufficient (my home was only connected to the national grid (electricity) in the year 2000). Many incomers have modernised their properties to the extent that they couldn't heat them without mains electricity. The recent return to cold UK winters has me wondering how many of the more recent moorland residents with their heavy reliance on utility company energy would cope with a harsh prolonged winter.
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Post by cuttydyer on Mar 5, 2013 8:07:24 GMT
More tragic snow related stories from Japan: Link: www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-21657589Interestingly, unlike the last BBC video the reporter is not blaming increased precipitation on global warming. In fact the reporter states: levels of precipitation are normal, its the temperatures that have decreased so the rain is falling as snow
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Post by cuttydyer on Mar 1, 2013 10:14:14 GMT
February winters as they used to be! Great! Ffinally Madrid skipped a 10-20cm snowfall as it fell above 800m amsl mainly. Madrid being 635-750m amsl -650M mean reference in Puerta del Sol. But winter is still here... Looks like the Atlantic weather will push on through making this potential cold short lived; I'm hoping for the sake of my kids that the UK gets one last snow event (the kids sledges have only had one outing this winter).
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Post by cuttydyer on Mar 1, 2013 8:24:10 GMT
Fort the first time this winter: snow in Madrid. Might have some more tonite-tomorrow! Karlox, looks like winter may isn't over yet; another cold snap forecast for the middle of the month:
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Post by cuttydyer on Mar 1, 2013 8:14:32 GMT
Record amounts of snow have fallen on northern Japan. Link to video: www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-21625702But of course, being the BBC the reporter has to state: "it could be the result of global warming"
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Post by cuttydyer on Feb 25, 2013 12:53:34 GMT
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Post by cuttydyer on Feb 25, 2013 8:31:28 GMT
It's been a cold start to 2013 for the UK:
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Post by cuttydyer on Feb 20, 2013 13:31:50 GMT
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Post by cuttydyer on Feb 7, 2013 12:38:25 GMT
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Post by cuttydyer on Feb 6, 2013 15:36:15 GMT
Mr Tisdale shows the cooling of the oceans.http://bobtisdale.wordpress.com/2013/01/28/preliminary-january-2013-sea-surface-temperature-anomaly-update/ Sigurdur, great link - thanks. Comparison:
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Post by cuttydyer on Feb 6, 2013 14:20:57 GMT
Dr Roy Spencer's blog reports that January satellite derived world temperature is +0.51 degC, up sharply from previous month.I think the measurements over the next three years will cause one of the alternative AGW viewpoints to crash and burn.This will be fascinating to watch. I find these fluctuations in the lower tropospheric temperature fascinating. What recent event has caused the increase?
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Post by cuttydyer on Jan 30, 2013 16:31:43 GMT
We would appear to be in a cycle of steadily reducing optima - Minoan, Roman, Medieval, 20th Century. Chaotic systems often have quasi-periodic cycles. We are just past the peak of the 20th Century optimum. What happens just past the peak? Well last time in 1315 - 1322 as the Earth cooled out of the Medieval Warm Period, there were continual rains and storms over NW Europe (including the UK) and crop failures. (Google The Great Famine 1315). And what are we experiencing at the moment? These locked in weather patterns are probably due to the jetstreams becoming meridonal and moving equatorward with blocking highs stopping the Rossby waves the pattern in the highs being due to geography and sea temperatures. So if that pattern repeats, expect another 5 years or so of 2012 type weather followed by a cooling. If we are lucky that will only be a minor cooling if not we are going to have major problems not least of which will be insufficient energy production. I'm with you, the underlying trend (temp rather than CO2) of this graph is rather frightening: GISP2 link: www.gisp2.sr.unh.edu/
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