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Post by cuttydyer on Jan 9, 2013 12:30:58 GMT
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Post by cuttydyer on Jan 8, 2013 12:45:50 GMT
Here’s my first offering; James Carrington’s Environmental Blog in today’s Guardian. www.guardian.co.uk/environment/damian-carrington-blog/2013/jan/08/australia-bush-fires-heatwave-temperature-scaleJames chooses to ignore the cold events occurring right now in the Northern Hemisphere and instead turns to a devastating Southern Hemisphere summer event. My favourite quotes from the blog: "Global warming is turning the volume of extreme weather up, Spinal-Tap-style, to 11" ""Whilst you would not put any one event down to climate change, weather doesn't work like that" "but it is equally clear that new colours will need to be added to scales across the world for heatwaves and other extreme weather events."
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Post by cuttydyer on Jan 6, 2013 13:12:51 GMT
[/quote]But as an norht-easternly winds patterns is showing up you might get a good one a few days later?[/quote]
Yep, looks like we're back to cold & possibly a little snow.
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Post by cuttydyer on Jan 6, 2013 7:18:59 GMT
Looks as though the UK will get a taste: Though I wont be putting on the snow tyres just yet...
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Post by cuttydyer on Jan 5, 2013 6:41:16 GMT
Anyone find it interesting how many sun spots just popped up lately. It has been relatively calm and boom suns full. Yes, grabbed my attention. Is it unusual for spots to suddenly form at the higher latitudes this far into a cycle?
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Post by cuttydyer on Jan 4, 2013 6:21:36 GMT
"The Met Office says changing sea temperatures, melting Artic ice and rising global temperatures COULD all be influencing Britain's rain fall patterns"
The Met stay "on-message" but at the same time make the admission they don't have a clue as to what's going on. No doubt a request for more funding will soon be made.
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Post by cuttydyer on Jan 3, 2013 21:22:35 GMT
Here in the West Midlands of England it was almost springlike today with temperature of 54 degrees F and warmer in the sun, I saw my first butterfly of the year, I hope it lasts. Current warmth forecast to last until the middle of the month - jet stream projected to move south, but no real cold on offer yet...could go either way (possibly SSW dependent).
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Post by cuttydyer on Jan 1, 2013 15:51:45 GMT
Nautonnier,
Thanks for the re-post – a frightening scenario. I’d much prefer the Mediterranean outcome being peddled at present.
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Post by cuttydyer on Jan 1, 2013 9:59:04 GMT
cuttydyer: As a farmer, I will state with 100% certainty. There has been WAY more crop production LOST because of a freeze, than any production lost because of warmth. That is a fact that you can take to the bank. Agreed; my local (Dartmoor) farming friends are not concerned with projected warming, it’s the current wet & cold that they're struggling with.
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Post by cuttydyer on Jan 1, 2013 8:16:03 GMT
I live in one of the wettest parts of the South West of England - Dartmoor. Just a couple of hundred yards from my home is the river Dart and a stream runs through the entire property just 15’ from the house – it’s been an interesting couple of months. What really concerns me is what this change in the Jet Stream strength & position might herald. My home is surrounded by Iron Age, Bronze Age & Medieval archaeology; just up the road are a couple of Medieval villages that were abandoned in the 1300’s. The village at Houndtor was excavated in the 1960’s, Pollen evidence suggests that cereal farming had ceased by 1350 (friends who farm these areas are amazed that cereals were historically grown where grass in today’s cooler climate struggles to grow) . The archaeological consensus being that climate change (cooling) forced the abandonment of most of the moor during this period (the lead into the “Little Ice Age”). So, what if the flooding we are experiencing now is the same pattern that was seen at the beginning of the 14th century - the Great European Famine (result of prolonged wet weather) followed by 500 years of cooling.
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Post by cuttydyer on Dec 31, 2012 22:19:19 GMT
Maybe I should place bets on a run of white Christmas days (2017+) before the bookies get wise…
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Post by cuttydyer on Dec 30, 2012 8:42:58 GMT
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Post by cuttydyer on Dec 29, 2012 8:16:57 GMT
My father was staying with me over Christmas; our conversation turned to the weather and we talked about the changes he has seen to UK weather over the last 78 years. We decided to test his recollections by plotting the MET CET temperature data from his birth to present day; we found three trends that matched his memories: (Added Time covers as he recalled the 1970's ice age concerns) So, for 80% of my Father's life he's witnessed a cooling trend punctuated by a brief but potent 14 year rise in temps. Data downloaded from: www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.htmlNow the question begs, when a cooling period in the past was presented, what did it do to the weather patterns? I am familiar with Upper Midwest CONUS, but not at all with Europe, China etc. Can folks who live there do a bit of research and share with the rest of us? I find this topic most interesting. Sigurdur, It’s of great interest to me also; found this site containing historical weather references: booty.org.uk/booty.weather/climate/histclimat.htm
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Post by cuttydyer on Dec 28, 2012 21:24:10 GMT
So now we will have to await the figures for 2012. Well, it’s been a cold wet 2012 in the UK: Current CET Met data: • Average so far this year o Average CET to November: 10.15 o Normal CET to November: 9.91 (data from 1772 so includes 78 years of the "Little Ice Age") o Anomaly to November: 0.23 o Provisional CET anomaly (up to 27th December): 0.20 MetOffice CET (Central England Temp) data can be found here: www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.htmlTrend since 1997: Data downloaded from: www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html
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