World Ocean Temperatures - There and Back Again

[missouriboy]

Dec 12, 2020 23:32:43 GMT duwayne said:

One thing that has concerned me with respect to my prediction of very little warming during the 2007 to 2037 period is the fact that the detrended AMO has been elevated during 2020 rather than receding toward below zero anomalies.  Finally November has dropped as shown in the skinny red line to the right of the chart to 0.1.  Based on the historical 60 year cycle, we should see some negative numbers before long.

The N Atlantic has been declining, but the Mid-latitude Atlantic is holding in there, thus the resistence in the AMO.

[neilhamp]

Hi Duwayne,

Thanks for reminding us of the AMO and HadCRUT4 plot
I follow it regularly.
When are we going to see a downward trend?
I am beginning to give up hope!
If and when it occurs we should start to see an increase in Arctic Ice Extent!

BTW I seem to recall you have a long term forecast of global temperatures somewhere on the site
If so, can you advise where it is?

[nautonnier]

[duwayne]

Dec 13, 2020 8:33:55 GMT neilhamp said:

Hi Duwayne,

Thanks for reminding us of the AMO and HadCRUT4 plot
I follow it regularly.
When are we going to see a downward trend?
I am beginning to give up hope!
If and when it occurs we should start to see an increase in Arctic Ice Extent!

BTW I seem to recall you have a long term forecast of global temperatures somewhere on the site
If so, can you advise where it is?

I'm glad to see at least 1 person is interested. I'll post an update on the Global Warming Temperature Predictions thread.

[missouriboy]

The temperature of the Gulf Stream (0-800m) as measured at its eastward bend off the N Carolina coast continues its decline.  Back to about 2004 values.  Bottom graph shows that the north branch (60N, 15W) has really not recovered from its dramatic 2015 decline.  The Southern Branch at 20W shows a slight decline.